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How many copies did Trials 2: Second Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$49k–$131k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut
from 280 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trials 2: Second Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trials 2: Second Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–5.1M
best case 37.2M (Rocket League®)
Games like Trials 2: Second Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–5.1M copies

≈ $9.3M–$39.2M after Steam's cut

from ~39k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Rocket League® at ≈ 28.3M–46.0M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (7 of 8) and Automobile Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Football (Soccer) + Competitive.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
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RacingAutomobile Sim
TrackMania Nations Forever
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≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Very Positive
RacingFree to Play
Rocket League®
2015
Est. copies
≈ 28.3M–46.0M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Free
Free
580k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFootball (Soccer)
Garfield Kart
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Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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14k reviews
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Cult ClassicCombat Racing
DiRT Rally
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≈ 2.0M–3.2M
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RacingSimulation
Wreckfest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
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RacingDestruction
SpeedRunners
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRacing

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.