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How many copies did Circus Electrique sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$157k before Steam's cut
from 278 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Circus Electrique and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Circus Electrique's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 77k–134k
best case 484k (Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga)
Games like Circus Electrique

A typical game among these

≈ 77k–134k copies

≈ $696k–$1.6M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga at ≈ 369k–600k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Strategy RPG (8 of 8) and Tactical RPG (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Story Rich, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Fantasy + Adventure + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Legends of Eisenwald
2015
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $894k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based
Tactics Ogre: Reborn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Agarest: Generations of War
2014
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $784k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGTactical RPG
Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga
2022
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Inkbound
2024
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$824k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Disgaea 2 PC
2017
Est. copies
≈ 59k–96k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$323k–$869k after Steam's cut $588k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy RPG
Persona 5 Tactica
2023
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$907k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGStrategy
大千世界
2020
Est. copies
≈ 59k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$64k–$173k after Steam's cut $117k–$266k before Steam's cut
$3.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World

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