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How many copies did Dungeons of Aether sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$67k–$181k after Steam's cut $122k–$278k before Steam's cut
from 657 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dungeons of Aether and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dungeons of Aether's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 508k–1.0M
best case 1.4M (Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition)
Games like Dungeons of Aether

A typical game among these

≈ 508k–1.0M copies

≈ $4.9M–$11.8M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 9k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

King Arthur: Knight's Tale
2022
Est. copies
≈ 188k–305k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGTurn-Based Tactics
Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
For The King II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 403k–654k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureRPG
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
The Last Spell
2023
Est. copies
≈ 341k–555k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySingleplayer
For The King
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOnline Co-Op
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction RPG

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