How much revenue did Merchant in Dungeon make?

$7k–$20k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Merchant in Dungeon sell?

Q: How many copies did Merchant in Dungeon sell?

3k to 5k copies, based on its 121 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–5k; $7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$31k before Steam's cut; from 121 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Merchant in Dungeon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Merchant in Dungeon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 333k–479k

best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)

Games like Merchant in Dungeon

A typical game among these

≈ 333k–479k copies

≈ $2.3M–$4.0M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 51k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Capitalism (6 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Economy, priced around $38. The breakout hits carry Economy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Big Ambitions 2026	Est. copies ≈ 372k–605k 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$25.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessManagement
Recettear: An Item Shop's Tale 2010	Est. copies ≈ 476k–774k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CapitalismAnime
OCTOPATH TRAVELER™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 498k–809k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.2M–$22.1M after Steam's cut $14.9M–$34.0M before Steam's cut	$59.99	17k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Atelier Ryza: Ever Darkness & the Secret Hideout 2019	Est. copies ≈ 253k–412k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	JRPGExploration
TCG Card Shop Simulator 2026	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	51k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Management
X4: Foundations 2018	Est. copies ≈ 920k–1.5M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	30k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSimulation
小白兔电商~Bunny e-Shop 2021	Est. copies ≈ 254k–413k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $768k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$10.99	10k reviews Very Positive	CapitalismVisual Novel
NBA 2K20 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M 6.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	60k reviews Mixed	BasketballSports