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How many copies did Paladin's Oath sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–6k
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
from 137 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Paladin's Oath and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paladin's Oath's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 716–22k
best case 568k (Cultist Simulator)
Games like Paladin's Oath

A typical game among these

≈ 716–22k copies

≈ $2k–$241k after Steam's cut

from ~42 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cultist Simulator at ≈ 433k–704k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 17.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Board Game (7 of 8) and Strategy RPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Choices Matter, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warhammer Quest (Classic)
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Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
29x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$478k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $869k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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Cultist Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 433k–704k
343x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
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$14.99
41 reviews
Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureCRPG
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2.2x vs typical
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Ruined Kingdom
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Chroma Wars
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2 user reviews
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SteamSpy under 20k
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