How much revenue did Heretic Operative make?

$15k–$39k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heretic Operative sell?

Q: How many copies did Heretic Operative sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 92 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $15k–$39k after Steam's cut $26k–$60k before Steam's cut; from 92 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heretic Operative and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heretic Operative's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 825k–2.0M

best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)

Games like Heretic Operative

A typical game among these

≈ 825k–2.0M copies

≈ $6.9M–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~26k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Trading Card Game (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Magic Duels 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	24k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayCard Game
Tabletop Simulator 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	TabletopBoard Game
Gloomhaven 2021	Est. copies ≈ 400k–650k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
For The King 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	RPGOnline Co-Op
GWENT: The Witcher Card Game 2020	Est. copies ≈ 690k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy
Town of Salem 2014	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	36k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerStrategy
Armello 2015	Est. copies ≈ 784k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Board GamePvP
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus 2018	Est. copies ≈ 445k–723k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	15k reviews Very Positive	Warhammer 40KStrategy