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How many copies did Town of Salem sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
$2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.5M before Steam's cut
from 36k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Town of Salem and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Town of Salem's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 413k–1.6M
best case 4.2M (Deceit)
Games like Town of Salem

A typical game among these

≈ 413k–1.6M copies

≈ $1.7M–$5.0M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Deceit at ≈ 3.2M–5.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Social Deduction.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Deceit
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
92k reviews
Mostly Positive
PvPMultiplayer
Unfortunate Spacemen
2020
Est. copies
≈ 187k–305k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Very Positive
Survival HorrorInvestigation
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic
In Silence
2021
Est. copies
≈ 296k–482k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$815k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
Shower With Your Dad Simulator 2015: Do You Still Shower With Your Dad
2015
Est. copies
≈ 490k–796k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$133k–$358k after Steam's cut $242k–$551k before Steam's cut
$0.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Arcade2D
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Secret Neighbor: Hello Neighbor Multiplayer
2019
Est. copies
≈ 559k–908k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerHorror

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.