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How many copies did TV Kid sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
from 58 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid TV Kid and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TV Kid's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 143k–309k
best case 351k (Tiny Rogues)
Games like TV Kid

A typical game among these

≈ 143k–309k copies

≈ $387k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tiny Rogues at ≈ 267k–435k copies, ≈ $735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 258 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (5 of 8) and Bullet Hell (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $10.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

(the) Gnorp Apologue
2023
Est. copies
≈ 247k–401k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$475k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $863k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$6.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ClickerIdler
Karate Survivor
2024
Est. copies
≈ 84k–137k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$116k–$311k after Steam's cut $210k–$479k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
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FightingCasual
Tiny Rogues
2022
Est. copies
≈ 267k–435k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Crimson Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$43k before Steam's cut
$3.99
382 reviews
Mixed
RPGAction
COMPOUND
2022
Est. copies
≈ 53k–86k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$292k–$786k after Steam's cut $531k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-lite
Boneraiser Minions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 133k–216k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$183k–$491k after Steam's cut $332k–$756k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
UFO 50
2024
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePixel Graphics
Book of Yog Idle RPG
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Est. copies
≈ 224k–363k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Mixed
AdventureMassively Multiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.