How much revenue did COMPOUND make?

$292k–$786k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did COMPOUND sell?

Q: How many copies did COMPOUND sell?

53k to 86k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 53k–86k; $292k–$786k after Steam's cut $531k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid COMPOUND and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including COMPOUND's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 99k–141k

best case 417k (SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE)

Games like COMPOUND

A typical game among these

≈ 99k–141k copies

≈ $974k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE at ≈ 318k–516k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 867 reviews in their first month; the range was 238 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 8) and Rogue-lite (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Action Roguelike + Time Manipulation + Bullet Time; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Until You Fall 2020	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRSwordplay
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE 2020	Est. copies ≈ 318k–516k 4.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	FPSTime Manipulation
Receiver 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 76k–124k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $419k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $763k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	FPS Simulation
Legend of Dungeon 2013	Est. copies ≈ 104k–168k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $285k–$766k after Steam's cut $518k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
EVERSPACE™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 395k–642k 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Mostly Positive	SpaceAction Roguelike
Ancient Dungeon 2021	Est. copies ≈ 44k–71k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $241k–$649k after Steam's cut $439k–$998k before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRDungeon Crawler
Monstrum 2015	Est. copies ≈ 184k–300k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $912k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$17.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
UNDERDOGS 2024	Est. copies ≈ 73k–119k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRAction-Adventure