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How many copies did Warriors of the Nile 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30k–49k
$124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warriors of the Nile 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warriors of the Nile 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 914k–1.3M
best case 6.5M (Balatro)
Games like Warriors of the Nile 2

A typical game among these

≈ 914k–1.3M copies

≈ $7.9M–$15.6M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies, ≈ $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (7 of 8) and Deckbuilding (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Pixel Graphics + Replay Value; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
觅长生
2023
Est. copies
≈ 797k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Sultan's Game
2025
Est. copies
≈ 876k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
Monster Train
2020
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Card BattlerRogue-lite
KARDS - The WW2 Card Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
52k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCard Game
Armello
2015
Est. copies
≈ 784k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Board GamePvP
Library Of Ruina
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
45k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichCard Game
Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics

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