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How many copies did Near-Mage sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$33k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$138k before Steam's cut
from 245 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Near-Mage and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Near-Mage's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–216k
best case 283k (WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT)
Games like Near-Mage

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–216k copies

≈ $1.2M–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT at ≈ 216k–351k copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Anime, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Thaumaturge
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149k–241k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
RPGSingleplayer
9-nine-:Episode 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$318k–$856k after Steam's cut $579k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Sexual ContentVisual Novel
The Cosmic Wheel Sisterhood
2023
Est. copies
≈ 159k–258k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$786k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$17.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Interactive FictionFemale Protagonist
fault - milestone one
2014
Est. copies
≈ 181k–295k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$748k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Fate/stay night REMASTERED
2024
Est. copies
≈ 122k–199k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Agarest: Generations of War
2014
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $784k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
JRPGTactical RPG
Umineko When They Cry - Question Arcs
2016
Est. copies
≈ 120k–195k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$825k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackVisual Novel
WITCH ON THE HOLY NIGHT
2023
Est. copies
≈ 216k–351k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime

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