How much revenue did Fading Afternoon make?

$141k–$380k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Fading Afternoon sell?

Q: How many copies did Fading Afternoon sell?

26k to 42k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 26k–42k; $141k–$380k after Steam's cut $257k–$584k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fading Afternoon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fading Afternoon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 280k–1.1M

best case 6.6M (Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition)

Games like Fading Afternoon

A typical game among these

≈ 280k–1.1M copies

≈ $736k–$3.1M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Sandbox (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 26k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (4 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Automobile Sim. The breakout hits carry Automobile Sim + Crime + Third Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 28x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
The friends of Ringo Ishikawa 2018	Est. copies ≈ 97k–157k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $399k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $725k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionPixel Graphics
IdleOn - The Incremental MMO 2025	Est. copies ≈ 741k–1.2M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	30k reviews Mostly Positive	IdlerPixel Graphics
Kingdom Eighties 2023	Est. copies ≈ 83k–135k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $273k–$735k after Steam's cut $497k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$11.99	3k reviews Mostly Positive	ExplorationSide Scroller
Craft The World 2014	Est. copies ≈ 961k–1.6M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before Steam's cut	$18.99	17k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
King Arthur's Gold 2013	Est. copies ≈ 330k–537k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	5k reviews Very Positive	Multiplayer2D
Pixel Piracy 2014	Est. copies ≈ 412k–669k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Mixed	Action RoguelikeSandbox
Your Only Move Is HUSTLE 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 6.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$4.99	46k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2D FighterTurn-Based Strategy