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How many copies did Crash Time - Undercover sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$20k–$53k after Steam's cut $36k–$82k before Steam's cut
from 193 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Crash Time - Undercover and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Crash Time - Undercover's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.0M–9.9M
best case 9.9M (Forza Horizon 4)
Games like Crash Time - Undercover

A typical game among these

≈ 4.0M–9.9M copies

≈ $39.5M–$127.6M after Steam's cut

from ~175k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Forza Horizon 4 at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (8 of 8) and Automobile Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–15.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$53.8M–$144.6M after Steam's cut $97.8M–$222.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Forza Horizon 5
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.0M–11.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$115.3M–$310.1M after Steam's cut $209.7M–$477.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
282k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Car Mechanic Simulator 2018
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.7M–$28.8M after Steam's cut $19.5M–$44.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationAutomobile Sim
The Crew™ 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.0M–$67.2M after Steam's cut $45.5M–$103.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
100k reviews
Mostly Positive
RacingOpen World
Forza Horizon 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
Drive Me to Hell
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$1.99
282 reviews
Very Positive
ActionRacing
Transporter Truck Simulator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$17k–$46k after Steam's cut $31k–$70k before Steam's cut
$24.99
86 reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports
Speed Night
2023
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
12 reviews
Mixed
RacingRPG

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