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How many copies did Rat Prison sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rat Prison and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rat Prison's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 499–45k
best case 2.6M (Rain World)
Games like Rat Prison

A typical game among these

≈ 499–45k copies

≈ $1k–$291k after Steam's cut

from ~107 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rain World at ≈ 2.0M–3.2M copies, ≈ $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 407.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Exploration, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Lakeview Cabin Collection
2015
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$260k–$699k after Steam's cut $473k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Survival Horror2D Platformer
YinYang Street Ultimate Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut
$8.99
115 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePuzzle
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
542x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
Exitium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 173–281
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$380–$1k after Steam's cut $691–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
Psychological HorrorExploration
The Climate Trail
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432–702
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15 reviews
Mixed
AdventureAction
Cold Call
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$662–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
98 reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Game Maker Series MEDIUM-NAUT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$14.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
ActionMetroidvania
Lakeview Cabin 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut
$13.99
587 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.