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How big is The Climate Trail?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 432–702
from 15 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Climate Trail and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Climate Trail's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–12k
best case 189k (Threefold Recital)
Games like The Climate Trail

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–12k copies

≈ $19k–$44k after Steam's cut

from ~140 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Threefold Recital at ≈ 144k–234k copies, ≈ $593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 62 reviews in their first month; the range was 16 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Drama + Mystery, priced around $15.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Draw
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21k–34k
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
849 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGAction RPG
Game Of Mafia
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
$9.99
148 reviews
Mixed
ActionIdler
Sentimental Death Loop
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$26k–$69k after Steam's cut $47k–$107k before Steam's cut
$19.99
189 reviews
Mixed
AdventureSurvival Horror
Threefold Recital
2025
Est. copies
≈ 144k–234k
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DramaMystery
Beyond the Ice Palace 2
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $33k–$74k before Steam's cut
$19.99
132 reviews
Mixed
AdventureExploration
ココロクローバー パート1/Kokoro Clover Part1
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
81 reviews
Very Positive
AnimeIndie
The Shadow You
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$9.99
46 reviews
Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
Yurukill: The Calumniation Games
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$19.99
80 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureShooter

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