How much revenue did Threefold Recital make?

$593k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Threefold Recital sell?

Q: How many copies did Threefold Recital sell?

144k to 234k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 144k–234k; $593k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Threefold Recital and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Threefold Recital's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 608k–776k

best case 2.0M (The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty)

Games like Threefold Recital

A typical game among these

≈ 608k–776k copies

≈ $3.7M–$6.0M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 875 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Drama (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sanfu 2023	Est. copies ≈ 443k–720k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$10.99	18k reviews Very Positive	MysteryRPG
Life is Strange 2 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	41k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
Night in the Woods 2017	Est. copies ≈ 699k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	20k reviews Very Positive	Story RichAdventure
Firework 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorIndie
The Great Ace Attorney Chronicles 2021	Est. copies ≈ 237k–385k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelAdventure
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
Until Then 2024	Est. copies ≈ 484k–786k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $2.7M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	19k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelPixel Graphics
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical