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How many copies did Beyond the Ice Palace 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $33k–$74k before Steam's cut
from 132 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Beyond the Ice Palace 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Beyond the Ice Palace 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–4.6M
best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)
Games like Beyond the Ice Palace 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–4.6M copies

≈ $5.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 70 to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (7 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Dark Fantasy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Salt and Sanctuary
2016
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
ANIMAL WELL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
DARK SOULS™: Prepare To Die™ Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
79k reviews
Very Positive
Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
FEZ
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerIndie
GRIME
2021
Est. copies
≈ 169k–275k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Noreya: The Gold Project
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before Steam's cut
$9.99
166 reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPuzzle-Platformer

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