How much revenue did GROUND BRANCH make?

$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did GROUND BRANCH sell?

Q: How many copies did GROUND BRANCH sell?

621k to 1.0M copies, based on its 25k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 621k–1.0M; $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut; from 25k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GROUND BRANCH and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GROUND BRANCH's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.5M–25.0M

best case 820.1M (Counter-Strike 2)

Games like GROUND BRANCH

A typical game among these

≈ 7.5M–25.0M copies

≈ $83.9M–$163.0M after Steam's cut

from ~244k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Counter-Strike 2 at ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 57k reviews in their first month; the range was 47k to 165k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (7 of 8) and FPS (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Competitive + e-sports + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Counter-Strike 2 2012	Est. copies ≈ 624.8M–1015.3M 41x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	9.9M reviews Very Positive	FPSShooter
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Insurgency 2014	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.8M–$77.3M after Steam's cut $52.3M–$119.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	125k reviews Very Positive	FPSRealistic
Call of Duty® 2022	Est. copies ≈ 19.4M–31.5M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	782k reviews Mixed	FPSMultiplayer
Squad 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.0M–9.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $66.5M–$178.7M after Steam's cut $120.8M–$274.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	244k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryRealistic
World of Warships 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	157k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Arma 3 2013	Est. copies ≈ 18.7M–30.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $154.1M–$414.3M after Steam's cut $280.2M–$637.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	296k reviews Very Positive	MilitaryAction
Hell Let Loose 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	150k reviews Very Positive	ShooterRealistic