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How many copies did START AGAIN: a prologue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
from 684 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid START AGAIN: a prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including START AGAIN: a prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 63k–162k
best case 447k (The Forgotten City)
Games like START AGAIN: a prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 63k–162k copies

≈ $383k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forgotten City at ≈ 341k–554k copies, ≈ $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 196 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Time Travel + Mystery, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Through Abandoned: The Underground City
2015
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$81k–$217k after Steam's cut $147k–$335k before Steam's cut
$5.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
Timespinner
2018
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $970k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaLGBTQ+
The Forgotten City
2021
Est. copies
≈ 341k–554k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureTime Travel
CHRONO CROSS: THE RADICAL DREAMERS EDITION
2022
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$344k–$926k after Steam's cut $626k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
JRPGRPG
Twelve Minutes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 201k–327k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieAdventure
Truberbrook / Trüberbrook
2019
Est. copies
≈ 68k–110k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$558k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
A Perfect Day
2022
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$250k–$672k after Steam's cut $454k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericNarration
Kraken Academy!!
2021
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$73k–$197k after Steam's cut $133k–$303k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyAdventure

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