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How many copies did A Perfect Day sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 45k–74k
$250k–$672k after Steam's cut $454k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Perfect Day and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Perfect Day's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.5M
best case 8.6M (Detroit: Become Human)
Games like A Perfect Day

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.5M copies

≈ $8.0M–$22.0M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Detroit: Become Human at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choices Matter (6 of 8) and Multiple Endings (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Emotional + Futuristic + Robots; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Stanley Parable
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyNarration
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
47k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Nobody Wants to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 186k–303k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
3DDetective
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Road 96 🛣️
2021
Est. copies
≈ 653k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.8M before Steam's cut
$19.96
26k reviews
Very Positive
First-PersonColorful
Heavy Rain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 788k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$17.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
Katawa Shoujo
2024
Est. copies
≈ 155k–251k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance

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