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How many copies did UNDETECTED sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
from 107 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid UNDETECTED and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including UNDETECTED's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 176k–359k
best case 542k (Desperados III)
Games like UNDETECTED

A typical game among these

≈ 176k–359k copies

≈ $1.4M–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Desperados III at ≈ 413k–671k copies, ≈ $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 371 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Stealth (8 of 8) and Tactical (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Real Time Tactics + Stealth, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Desperados III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 413k–671k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
17k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Real Time TacticsStrategy
Of Guards And Thieves
2014
Est. copies
≈ 242k–393k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerFree to Play
Intravenous 2: Mercenarism
2024
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRealistic
Intravenous 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 119k–193k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$652k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalShooter
Heat Signature
2017
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceStealth
The WereCleaner
2024
Est. copies
≈ 329k–535k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StealthCasual
Intravenous
2021
Est. copies
≈ 139k–226k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$765k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
StealthTactical
METAL GEAR SOLID - Master Collection Version
2023
Est. copies
≈ 152k–247k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
ActionStealth

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