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How many copies did Pompom sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut
from 129 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pompom and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pompom's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 145k–197k
best case 5.2M (LIMBO)
Games like Pompom

A typical game among these

≈ 145k–197k copies

≈ $1.4M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: LIMBO at ≈ 3.9M–6.4M copies, ≈ $13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 988 reviews in their first month; the range was 454 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (8 of 8) and Platformer (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry 2D + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.3M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before Steam's cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Braid
2009
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
The Pedestrian
2020
Est. copies
≈ 152k–247k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePuzzle-Platformer
Tukoni: Prologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 100k–162k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureCasual
DARQ: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDark
Hue
2016
Est. copies
≈ 474k–770k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
Deepest Sword
2021
Est. copies
≈ 271k–441k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
11k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Oddworld: New 'n' Tasty
2015
Est. copies
≈ 179k–291k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer

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