How much revenue did The Pedestrian make?

$835k–$2.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Pedestrian sell?

Q: How many copies did The Pedestrian sell?

152k to 247k copies, based on its 6k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 152k–247k; $835k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut; from 6k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Pedestrian and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Pedestrian's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 78k–120k

best case 693k (Murders on the Yangtze River)

Games like The Pedestrian

A typical game among these

≈ 78k–120k copies

≈ $105k–$603k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Murders on the Yangtze River at ≈ 528k–858k copies, ≈ $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 494 reviews in their first month; the range was 399 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective + Puzzle, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Detective + Story Rich + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Lightmatter 2020	Est. copies ≈ 72k–117k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $396k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $721k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	LogicIndie
Zup! 5 2017	Est. copies ≈ 104k–169k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $57k–$153k after Steam's cut $103k–$235k before Steam's cut	$1.99	3k reviews Very Positive	PuzzleCasual
Leap Year 2024	Est. copies ≈ 80k–129k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ExplorationPrecision Platformer
The Bridge 2013	Est. copies ≈ 275k–447k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerHand-drawn
Hexologic 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42k–67k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $57k–$153k after Steam's cut $104k–$236k before Steam's cut	$4.99	1k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	LogicPuzzle
Braid, Anniversary Edition 2024	Est. copies ≈ 47k–76k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $258k–$694k after Steam's cut $469k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-Platformer2D Platformer
I hate this game 2019	Est. copies ≈ 76k–124k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $42k–$112k after Steam's cut $76k–$172k before Steam's cut	$1.99	3k reviews Very Positive	IndiePuzzle
Murders on the Yangtze River 2024	Est. copies ≈ 528k–858k 7.3x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DetectiveAdventure