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How many copies did I hate this game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 76k–124k
$42k–$112k after Steam's cut $76k–$172k before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid I hate this game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including I hate this game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 966k–2.0M
best case 6.7M (Papers, Please)
Games like I hate this game

A typical game among these

≈ 966k–2.0M copies

≈ $5.1M–$12.3M after Steam's cut

from ~35k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Papers, Please at ≈ 5.1M–8.3M copies, ≈ $14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 53 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (4 of 8) and Co-op (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Political + Simulation, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Papers, Please
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePolitical
There Is No Game: Wrong Dimension
2020
Est. copies
≈ 648k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.2M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.6M before Steam's cut
$12.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndieAdventure
The Escapists 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerStrategy
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 895k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
PICO PARK
2021
Est. copies
≈ 744k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute

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