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How many copies did Asterigos: Curse of the Stars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 87k–142k
$839k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Asterigos: Curse of the Stars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Asterigos: Curse of the Stars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 629k–1.4M
best case 24.1M (DARK SOULS™ III)
Games like Asterigos: Curse of the Stars

A typical game among these

≈ 629k–1.4M copies

≈ $4.1M–$21.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DARK SOULS™ III at ≈ 18.3M–29.8M copies, ≈ $302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 92k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Lore-Rich, priced around $55. The breakout hits carry Lore-Rich + RPG + Turn-Based Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.5x vs typical
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