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How many copies did YARG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$136–$367 after Steam's cut $247–$564 before Steam's cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Only 5 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid YARG and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including YARG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 228k–634k
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like YARG

A typical game among these

≈ 228k–634k copies

≈ $901k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Platformer (6 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Super Meat Boy
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SANABI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.4M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
45k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsStory Rich
Neon Beats
2019
Est. copies
≈ 189k–308k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayRhythm
I Wanna Maker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerLevel Editor
Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 421k–685k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
VVVVVV
2010
Est. copies
≈ 667k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$916k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$4.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsPrecision Platformer
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
7.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty

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