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How many copies did Noobs Want to Live sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124k–201k
$170k–$456k after Steam's cut $308k–$701k before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Noobs Want to Live and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noobs Want to Live's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–4.2M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like Noobs Want to Live

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–4.2M copies

≈ $6.0M–$13.8M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (6 of 8) and Bullet Hell (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Halls of Torment
2024
Est. copies
≈ 793k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$6.66
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Neon Abyss
2020
Est. copies
≈ 586k–952k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$21.0M before Steam's cut
$31.49
24k reviews
Very Positive
Hero Siege
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.8M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$7.99
48k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGPixel Graphics
Realm of the Mad God Exalt
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
48k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsMMORPG
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 724k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$993k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell

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