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How many copies did Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 351k–1.0M
best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)
Games like Command & Conquer™ Red Alert™ 3

A typical game among these

≈ 351k–1.0M copies

≈ $2.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Building (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 743 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Building (3 of 8) and Level Editor (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Level Editor, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry Music + Great Soundtrack + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36.2M–58.9M
56x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut
$4.99
647k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
4.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Poly Bridge
2016
Est. copies
≈ 788k–1.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
BuildingSimulation
Command & Conquer 3 Tiberium Wars™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 592k–963k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Very Positive
Family FriendlyLevel Editor
Biped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 287k–466k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationEmotional
Golf It!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 772k–1.3M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$8.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerMini Golf
Poly Bridge 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$842k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BuildingSimulation
Parkitect
2018
Est. copies
≈ 248k–403k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.5M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingLevel Editor

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.