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How many copies did Subway Midnight sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 33k–54k
$91k–$243k after Steam's cut $165k–$375k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Subway Midnight and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Subway Midnight's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 238k–926k
best case 1.9M (NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD)
Games like Subway Midnight

A typical game among these

≈ 238k–926k copies

≈ $1.7M–$4.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD at ≈ 1.4M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 358 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Psychological Horror (7 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Psychological Horror + Anime, priced around $16.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Thumper
2016
Est. copies
≈ 184k–299k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmIndie
Rusty Lake Paradise
2018
Est. copies
≈ 233k–379k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$256k–$687k after Steam's cut $465k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$3.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Layers of Fear (2016)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
DARQ: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDark
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 556k–903k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Yuppie Psycho: Executive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$16.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePixel Graphics
In Sound Mind
2021
Est. copies
≈ 174k–283k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive

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