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How many copies did 100 hidden birds 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–20k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 502 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 100 hidden birds 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 100 hidden birds 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68.9M–110.2M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like 100 hidden birds 2

A typical game among these

≈ 68.9M–110.2M copies

≈ $242.0M–$505.3M after Steam's cut

from ~1.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Physics (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Physics (3 of 8) and First-Person (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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CasualPlatformer
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
BandRoll
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too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
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$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
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Early AccessRhythm
PewDiePie: Legend of the Brofist
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too small to compare
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$181k–$486k after Steam's cut $329k–$747k before Steam's cut
$7.99
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MemesPixel Graphics
Garry's Mod
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Est. copies
≈ 80.0M–130.1M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
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Euro Truck Simulator 2
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SteamSpy 10M–20M
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DrivingTransportation
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SportsSimulation

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