How much revenue did Tru Or Die make?

$27k–$73k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tru Or Die sell?

Q: How many copies did Tru Or Die sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 398 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut; from 398 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tru Or Die and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tru Or Die's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 70.9M–129.5M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Tru Or Die

A typical game among these

≈ 70.9M–129.5M copies

≈ $185.3M after Steam's cut

from ~2.1M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 6 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 469k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (4 of 8) and Shooter (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.2M–19.8M SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	491k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
Galaxy City® 2022	Est. copies ≈ 670–1k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	27 reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAction
UnScared 2021	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $428–$1k after Steam's cut $779–$2k before Steam's cut	$6.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	ActionExploration
Famished zombies: Decisive extermination 2022	Est. copies ≈ 273–443 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $224–$603 after Steam's cut $408–$927 before Steam's cut	$2.99	11 reviews Mixed	ActionShooter
Timothy vs the Aliens 2021	Est. copies ≈ 422–685 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut	$16.99	17 reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldThird-Person Shooter
Deadly Contagion 2024	Est. copies ≈ 843–1k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$5.99	34 reviews Positive	CasualSingleplayer