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How many copies did Deadly Contagion sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 843–1k
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 34 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deadly Contagion and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deadly Contagion's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 776k–1.0M
best case 7.6M (Far Cry® 5)
Games like Deadly Contagion

A typical game among these

≈ 776k–1.0M copies

≈ $10.9M–$24.2M after Steam's cut

from ~28k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Far Cry® 5 at ≈ 5.8M–9.4M copies, ≈ $95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 6k to 49k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + FPS, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 1998 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
Half-Life
1998
Est. copies
≈ 10.4M–16.9M
5.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
164k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSClassic
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.6M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
139k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorTeam-Based
DEATHLOOP
2021
Est. copies
≈ 756k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.5M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
FPSAction
Far Cry® 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 912k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.5M after Steam's cut $27.4M–$62.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
37k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldFPS
Choo-Choo Charles
2022
Est. copies
≈ 446k–726k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
High On Life
2022
Est. copies
≈ 640k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyFPS
Far Cry® 5
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$95.1M–$255.6M after Steam's cut $172.9M–$393.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
190k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction-Adventure

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