How much revenue did Timothy vs the Aliens make?

$2k–$5k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Timothy vs the Aliens sell?

Q: How many copies did Timothy vs the Aliens sell?

422 to 685 copies, based on its 17 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 422–685; $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut; from 17 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Timothy vs the Aliens and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Timothy vs the Aliens's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–57.6M

best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like Timothy vs the Aliens

A typical game among these

≈ 6.7M–57.6M copies

≈ $56.0M–$212.5M after Steam's cut

from ~317k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Crime (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 95.8M–155.7M 8.8x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.8M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
Grand Theft Auto IV: Complete Edition unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	204k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy 2015	Est. copies ≈ 101.5M–164.9M 6.6x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.1M reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Grand Theft Auto IV: The Complete Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$75.1M after Steam's cut $50.8M–$115.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	205k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Mafia: Definitive Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $30.4M–$81.7M after Steam's cut $55.2M–$125.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	111k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldCrime
Just Cause™ 3 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.3M–10.2M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $34.4M–$92.4M after Steam's cut $62.5M–$142.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction
Fallout 4 2015	Est. copies ≈ 21.0M–34.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $115.2M–$309.7M after Steam's cut $209.4M–$476.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	429k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	923k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldStory Rich