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How many copies did A Fishy RPG sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$95–$254 after Steam's cut $172–$391 before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Fishy RPG and predicted how it would do from its 5 similar games. Every figure here, including A Fishy RPG's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 318–1k
best case 1.9M (DREDGE)
Games like A Fishy RPG

A typical game among these

≈ 318–1k copies

≈ $972–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~25 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 5 similar games is a hit.

Best case: DREDGE at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 24 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 10k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (4 of 5) and CRPG (3 of 5).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Fishing, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Lovecraftian + Inventory Management + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 5 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DREDGE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2335x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationFishing
Infinite Mana
2024
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before Steam's cut
$24.99
37 reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichOpen World
Voxel Farm Island
2021
Est. copies
≈ 298–484
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$655–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$7.99
12 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
The Chronicler
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$142–$385 after Steam's cut $259–$592 before Steam's cut
$6.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualRPG
Tales from The Dancing Moon
2025
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$17.99
37 reviews
Positive
Early AccessRPG

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