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How many copies did Tales from The Dancing Moon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tales from The Dancing Moon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tales from The Dancing Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–39k
best case 193k (The Test: Hypothesis Rising)
Games like Tales from The Dancing Moon

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–39k copies

≈ $74k–$135k after Steam's cut

from ~473 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Story Rich (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Test: Hypothesis Rising at ≈ 147k–239k copies, ≈ $80k–$216k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 166 reviews in their first month; the range was 73 to 448.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (4 of 8) and Choices Matter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Multiple Endings, priced around $2.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Test: Hypothesis Rising
2020
Est. copies
≈ 147k–239k
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before Steam's cut
$1.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationMultiple Endings
The Baby In Yellow
2023
Est. copies
≈ 63k–102k
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$155k–$417k after Steam's cut $282k–$641k before Steam's cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessStory Rich
The Good Life
2021
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$66k–$178k after Steam's cut $120k–$273k before Steam's cut
$29.99
323 reviews
Mostly Positive
InvestigationLife Sim
Booth: A Dystopian Adventure
2020
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before Steam's cut
$9.99
399 reviews
Very Positive
Dystopian Story Rich
The Crush House
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$63k–$170k after Steam's cut $115k–$262k before Steam's cut
$16.99
546 reviews
Mostly Positive
LGBTQ+Simulation
Everholm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$53k–$141k after Steam's cut $96k–$218k before Steam's cut
$19.99
386 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualRPG
Girls on Campus, from Freshmen to Faculty, All Fall for Me!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
$6.99
378 reviews
Mixed
Sexual ContentDating Sim
Tales Beyond The Tomb - Pineville Night Stalker
2024
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
744 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction

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