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How many copies did Airship Killer sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 322–524
$442–$1k after Steam's cut $803–$2k before Steam's cut
from 13 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Airship Killer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Airship Killer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 342–2k
best case 7k (Space Elite Force)
Games like Airship Killer

A typical game among these

≈ 342–2k copies

≈ $333–$4k after Steam's cut

from ~23 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Space Elite Force at ≈ 6k–9k copies, ≈ $5k–$13k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 15 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and Side Scroller (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Side Scroller + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $3.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Broken Sky
2021
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$490–$1k after Steam's cut $891–$2k before Steam's cut
$7.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
Shoot 'Em UpShooter
Hard Driver 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$175–$472 after Steam's cut $319–$726 before Steam's cut
$0.99
26 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Hard Driver
2020
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$183–$490 after Steam's cut $332–$754 before Steam's cut
$0.99
27 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Aero Battle
2021
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
20 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
Space Elite Force
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$2.99
187 reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSide Scroller
Bear No Grudge
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273–443
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$675–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$8.99
11 reviews
Positive
ActionAction-Adventure
Space Elite Force II
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
4.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$5.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerShoot 'Em Up
Jetpack Kiwi
2023
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut
$5.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
ActionArcade

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.