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How many copies did Bear No Grudge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$675–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bear No Grudge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bear No Grudge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 382–2k
best case 4k (G WARRIOR)
Games like Bear No Grudge

A typical game among these

≈ 382–2k copies

≈ $670–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~22 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: G WARRIOR at ≈ 3k–5k copies, ≈ $4k–$12k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 64.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shooter (7 of 8) and Action-Adventure (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Shooter, priced around $5.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

GEESE vs CTHULHU
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$425–$1k after Steam's cut $773–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
63 reviews
Very Positive
CasualSpectacle fighter
G WARRIOR
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$4.99
128 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAction-Adventure
Airplanes Dogfight Racer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$47–$127 after Steam's cut $86–$195 before Steam's cut
$0.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
Combat RacingFlight
WILD-9
2021
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
28 reviews
Positive
ActionAdventure
Climb and Fight: Mafia
2022
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$176–$475 after Steam's cut $320–$730 before Steam's cut
$1.99
13 reviews
Positive
Action-Adventure1990's
Ma3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$9.99
15 reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Junkyard Fury Breakout
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$544–$1k after Steam's cut $989–$2k before Steam's cut
$9.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
AdventureAction
Blazing Trail
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $12k–$27k before Steam's cut
$12.99
73 reviews
Mostly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpTop-Down Shooter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.