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How many copies did Ma3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 372–605
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 15 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ma3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ma3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 513k–823k
best case 1.5M (Trailmakers)
Games like Ma3

A typical game among these

≈ 513k–823k copies

≈ $3.3M–$5.7M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Trailmakers at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 734 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (6 of 8) and Action-Adventure (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Action-Adventure, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceAction
Need for Speed™ Hot Pursuit Remastered
2020
Est. copies
≈ 376k–610k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
RacingDriving
Haste
2025
Est. copies
≈ 355k–577k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Fast-PacedAction
F1® 23
2023
Est. copies
≈ 437k–710k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
18k reviews
Very Positive
VRRacing
Extermination Cars Stadium
2022
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$115–$309 after Steam's cut $209–$475 before Steam's cut
$0.99
17 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Garfield Kart - Furious Racing
2019
Est. copies
≈ 435k–707k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicRacing
Fox Run
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut
$1.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
ActionCasual

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