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How many copies did Vlad Voievod Dracula. Episode 1 Manhunt sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 422–685
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 17 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Vlad Voievod Dracula. Episode 1 Manhunt and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Vlad Voievod Dracula. Episode 1 Manhunt's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.2M
best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)
Games like Vlad Voievod Dracula. Episode 1 Manhunt

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.2M copies

≈ $9.1M–$28.8M after Steam's cut

from ~42k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Platformer (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Souls-like + Difficult + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Touhou Luna Nights
2019
Est. copies
≈ 432k–701k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MetroidvaniaDifficult
Dust: An Elysian Tail
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionPlatformer
Ori and the Blind Forest
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackAtmospheric
Ori and the Blind Forest: Definitive Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.4M–$44.1M after Steam's cut $29.8M–$67.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
72k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericGreat Soundtrack
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Blasphemous
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut
$34.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
Rogue Legacy
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
RoguevaniaPlatformer
Bloodstained: Ritual of the Night
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.2M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
42k reviews
Very Positive

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