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How many copies did Bounty game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 80k–129k
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bounty game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bounty game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.3M–16.6M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Bounty game

A typical game among these

≈ 5.3M–16.6M copies

≈ $58.9M–$93.0M after Steam's cut

from ~241k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 33k reviews in their first month; the range was 115 to 76k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Battle Royale (5 of 8) and Survival (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kenshi
2018
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.3M–$78.9M after Steam's cut $53.3M–$121.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
117k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSandbox
Stumble Guys
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
139k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Apex Legends™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.1M reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayBattle Royale
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
138k reviews
Very Positive
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 95.8M–155.7M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.8M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Z1 Battle Royale
2018
Est. copies
≈ 6.2M–10.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
202k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalMassively Multiplayer

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.