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How many copies did Railway Islands - Puzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $13k–$30k before Steam's cut
from 267 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Railway Islands - Puzzle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Railway Islands - Puzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 295k–468k
best case 1.3M (Unpacking)
Games like Railway Islands - Puzzle

A typical game among these

≈ 295k–468k copies

≈ $2.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Unpacking at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Figment
2017
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Enigma of Fear
2024
Est. copies
≈ 257k–417k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MysteryInvestigation
Tactical Breach Wizards
2024
Est. copies
≈ 303k–492k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
COCOON
2023
Est. copies
≈ 226k–367k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePuzzle
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
Terra Nil
2023
Est. copies
≈ 219k–356k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
NatureStrategy
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute

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