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How many copies did Cat Detective Albert Wilde sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $25k–$58k before Steam's cut
from 171 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cat Detective Albert Wilde and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cat Detective Albert Wilde's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–5.2M
best case 22.4M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like Cat Detective Albert Wilde

A typical game among these

≈ 3.6M–5.2M copies

≈ $35.1M–$49.6M after Steam's cut

from ~64k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.1M–27.8M copies, ≈ $94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 28k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (8 of 8) and Third Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
Detroit: Become Human
2020
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$72.1M–$193.9M after Steam's cut $131.1M–$298.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
264k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choices MatterStory Rich
A Way Out
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.1M–$56.7M after Steam's cut $38.4M–$87.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpCo-op
SILENT HILL 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
Tomb Raider Game of the Year
2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.1M–27.8M
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.0M–$252.8M after Steam's cut $171.0M–$388.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
271k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureAction
The Last of Us™ Part I
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$45.1M–$121.3M after Steam's cut $82.0M–$186.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
110k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichPost-apocalyptic
Alan Wake
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.7M–$42.1M after Steam's cut $28.5M–$64.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHorror
Max Payne 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.4M–$60.2M after Steam's cut $40.7M–$92.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive
ActionThird-Person Shooter

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