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How many copies did Etrian Odyssey III HD sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$875k before Steam's cut
from 776 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Etrian Odyssey III HD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Etrian Odyssey III HD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 45k–155k
best case 334k (Battle Chasers: Nightwar)
Games like Etrian Odyssey III HD

A typical game among these

≈ 45k–155k copies

≈ $354k–$2.0M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Battle Chasers: Nightwar at ≈ 254k–413k copies, ≈ $2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 328 reviews in their first month; the range was 322 to 380.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + JRPG, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Labyrinth of Refrain: Coven of Dusk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 45k–72k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$612k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Touhou Artificial Dream in Arcadia
2023
Est. copies
≈ 31k–50k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$85k–$228k after Steam's cut $154k–$351k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dungeon CrawlerTurn-Based Combat
Battle Chasers: Nightwar
2017
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.6M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based Combat
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel
2017
Est. copies
≈ 204k–332k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGAnime
Dungeon Drafters
2023
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$132k–$356k after Steam's cut $240k–$547k before Steam's cut
$24.99
776 reviews
Mostly Positive
Tactical RPGDeckbuilding
Etrian Odyssey HD
2023
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$392k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $714k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky the 3rd
2017
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$735k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Dungeon Rushers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 51k–83k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$212k–$569k after Steam's cut $385k–$876k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Mixed

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.