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How many copies did Dungeon Drafters sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–31k
$132k–$356k after Steam's cut $240k–$547k before Steam's cut
from 776 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dungeon Drafters and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dungeon Drafters's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 81k–594k
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like Dungeon Drafters

A typical game among these

≈ 81k–594k copies

≈ $424k–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 13 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (5 of 8) and Turn-Based Tactics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gloomhaven
2021
Est. copies
≈ 400k–650k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.4M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpDark Fantasy
Trials of Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Obsidian Prince
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before Steam's cut
$14.99
143 reviews
Mostly Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderTurn-Based Strategy
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Aces & Adventures
2023
Est. copies
≈ 87k–141k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$476k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $865k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
DeckbuildingAdventure
Cobalt Core
2023
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Call of the Abyss
2022
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
15 reviews
Mostly Positive
Adventure2D

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.