How much revenue did Trials of Fire make?

$445k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Trials of Fire sell?

Q: How many copies did Trials of Fire sell?

81k to 131k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 81k–131k; $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Trials of Fire and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Trials of Fire's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 73k–861k

best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)

Games like Trials of Fire

A typical game among these

≈ 73k–861k copies

≈ $718k–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 141 to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (4 of 8) and Card Battler (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Trading Card Game + Turn-Based Tactics.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Backpack Hero 2023	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Replay ValueTurn-Based
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
Marvel's Midnight Suns 2022	Est. copies ≈ 609k–990k 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	25k reviews Very Positive	SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Tales & Tactics 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–91k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $278k–$747k after Steam's cut $505k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$17.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Hex GridAuto Battler
Across the Obelisk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeStrategy
Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic) 2020	Est. copies ≈ 41k–67k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $339k–$910k after Steam's cut $615k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Mixed	Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend 2022	Est. copies ≈ 53k–87k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $440k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $800k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderAnime