How much revenue did Obsidian Prince make?

$15k–$39k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Obsidian Prince sell?

Q: How many copies did Obsidian Prince sell?

4k to 6k copies, based on its 143 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4k–6k; $15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before Steam's cut; from 143 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Obsidian Prince and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Obsidian Prince's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 64k–243k

best case 427k (Across the Obelisk)

Games like Obsidian Prince

A typical game among these

≈ 64k–243k copies

≈ $715k–$1.5M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Across the Obelisk at ≈ 326k–529k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 141 to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Rogue-like (7 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Fantasy, priced around $20.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Shogun Showdown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Replay ValueStrategy RPG
Backpack Hero 2023	Est. copies ≈ 212k–344k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	Replay ValueTurn-Based
Cobalt Core 2023	Est. copies ≈ 109k–177k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Game
Trials of Fire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 81k–131k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Across the Obelisk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 326k–529k 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeStrategy
Warriors of the Nile 2 2022	Est. copies ≈ 30k–49k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $124k–$334k after Steam's cut $226k–$514k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCard Game
Touhou: Lost Branch of Legend 2022	Est. copies ≈ 53k–87k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $440k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $800k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike DeckbuilderAnime
Nowhere Prophet 2019	Est. copies ≈ 34k–55k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $233k–$625k after Steam's cut $423k–$962k before Steam's cut	$24.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	Rogue-like Deckbuilding