How much revenue did South of the Circle make?

$155k–$416k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did South of the Circle sell?

Q: How many copies did South of the Circle sell?

43k to 70k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 43k–70k; $155k–$416k after Steam's cut $281k–$640k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid South of the Circle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including South of the Circle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.5M

best case 3.8M (Mirror 2: Project X)

Games like South of the Circle

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies

≈ $1.9M–$28.8M after Steam's cut

from ~48k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror 2: Project X at ≈ 2.9M–4.7M copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 23k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Match 3 + Anime, priced around $2.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	47k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
LoveChoice 2021	Est. copies ≈ 910k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	37k reviews Very Positive	RomanceDating Sim
Mirror 2: Project X 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.5M before Steam's cut	$1.99	116k reviews Mostly Negative	3DMatch 3
To the Moon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	87k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	48k reviews Very Positive	Character CustomizationCinematic
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	60k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelHistorical
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk 2020	Est. copies ≈ 853k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $349k–$939k after Steam's cut $635k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$1.49	34k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual Novel Psychological Horror
Emily is Away 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	32k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStory Rich