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How many copies did Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
$19.4M–$52.1M after Steam's cut $35.2M–$80.1M before Steam's cut
from 57k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 37.7M–53.3M
best case 133.2M (Grand Theft Auto V Legacy)
Games like Marvel’s Spider-Man: Miles Morales

A typical game among these

≈ 37.7M–53.3M copies

≈ $590.6M–$840.4M after Steam's cut

from ~1.0M reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Grand Theft Auto V Legacy at ≈ 101.5M–164.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 326k reviews in their first month; the range was 251k to 347k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Mature (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Crime, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Multiplayer + Crime + Open World Survival Craft; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 28.7M–46.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$473.6M–$1273.3M after Steam's cut $861.1M–$1959.0M before Steam's cut		 $59.99
1.2M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut		 $4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Grand Theft Auto V Legacy
2015
Est. copies
≈ 101.5M–164.9M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free		 Free
2.1M reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Terraria
2011
Est. copies
≈ 98.5M–160.1M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$270.6M–$727.5M after Steam's cut $492.0M–$1119.3M before Steam's cut		 $9.99
1.6M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSandbox
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut		 $49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
HELLDIVERS™ 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 28.9M–46.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$317.6M–$854.0M after Steam's cut $577.5M–$1313.8M before Steam's cut		 $39.99
1.2M reviews
Mostly Positive
Online Co-OpPvE
Euro Truck Simulator 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 59.7M–97.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$328.0M–$881.9M after Steam's cut $596.4M–$1356.8M before Steam's cut		 $19.99
944k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DrivingTransportation
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut		 $59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World

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