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How many copies did Stars In The Trash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$32k–$85k after Steam's cut $58k–$131k before Steam's cut
from 388 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Stars In The Trash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Stars In The Trash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.9M–14.5M
best case 40.7M (Wallpaper Engine)
Games like Stars In The Trash

A typical game among these

≈ 5.9M–14.5M copies

≈ $61.4M–$122.2M after Steam's cut

from ~190k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Platformer (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Wallpaper Engine at ≈ 31.0M–50.3M copies, ≈ $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 46k reviews in their first month; the range was 951 to 183k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Platformer (3 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mature + Utilities, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
Hollow Knight
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.5M–31.6M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
566k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
179k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
Monster Hunter Wilds
2025
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.4M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$90.5M–$243.4M after Steam's cut $164.6M–$374.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
332k reviews
Mixed
HuntingAction
DARK SOULS™: REMASTERED
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.8M–7.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$52.3M–$140.6M after Steam's cut $95.1M–$216.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
156k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania

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