How much revenue did Wavetale make?

$586k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Wavetale sell?

Q: How many copies did Wavetale sell?

71k to 115k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 71k–115k; $586k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wavetale and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wavetale's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 93k–138k

best case 3.3M (Mirror's Edge™)

Games like Wavetale

A typical game among these

≈ 93k–138k copies

≈ $557k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mirror's Edge™ at ≈ 2.5M–4.0M copies, ≈ $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 351 to 11k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 3D Platformer (8 of 8) and Action-Adventure (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + 3D Platformer, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mirror's Edge™ 2009	Est. copies ≈ 2.5M–4.0M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureParkour
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Cosmic Shake 2023	Est. copies ≈ 125k–203k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	5k reviews Very Positive	3D PlatformerFamily Friendly
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart 2023	Est. copies ≈ 451k–732k 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$20.0M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.7M before Steam's cut	$59.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Adventure3D Platformer
Sonic Frontiers 2022	Est. copies ≈ 709k–1.2M 9.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	29k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackOpen World
Blue Fire 2021	Est. copies ≈ 77k–126k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $772k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaExploration
Grimhook 2023	Est. copies ≈ 105k–170k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ActionAdventure
Phantom Abyss 2024	Est. copies ≈ 56k–90k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $305k–$821k after Steam's cut $555k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Lorn's Lure 2024	Est. copies ≈ 71k–116k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $293k–$788k after Steam's cut $533k–$1.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ParkourDark